One of the most common arguments made for immigration is that, “Yes, there are cultural issues that we need to deal with, but we are all better off in the long run, so stop criticising it you racist …” Or something along those lines. Effectively we are told that immigration is good for the economy, so it is worth the downsides that people observe like crime, cultural integration and other issues.
However, this
argument is false and has long known to be false.
For instance
MacroBusiness[1]
notes that even though Australia’s immigration rate is one of the highest in
the world, this has been devastating for our economy rather than good for it,
Source: MacroBusiness.
Immigration
was supposed to boost productivity, but it has absolutely destroyed it.
What our
immigration system actually does is ever so slightly increase the size of the
economic pie (the overall size of the economy) whilst at the same time decreasing everyone’s share of the economic pie. Hence, the economy grows on
paper, but Australian’s are worse off per capita. Real income or prosperity effects
are in the negative.
Source: Grappysoapbox.
Australian’s
are getting poorer and we can all feel it. We are eating out less, going to
less places, putting away more money, cutting back on vacations. And so what
the government does to stimulate spending is increase the amount of people coming
in, which slowly increases the size of the economy, while shrinking everybody’s
share in the economy.
It does this
for a variety of reasons, but one is because of the actual cost on the economy
of having foreigners on the roads and doing jobs that require some degree of
local language knowledge, and other cultural knowledge which makes those jobs
run as smoothly as possible.
Take this
example that Vox Day[2]
shared on his blog,
“Today rolled through Nebraska and counted no fewer than 107 CMV accidents between Omaha and Big Springs. I did not get picture of all of them. In fact I didn’t start keeping track until halfway through the state.
“I
reached out to Nebraska State Police and they said they responded to 211 CMV
accidents in 3 Days, this includes today. I asked them for the crash ratio of
foreign to American drivers involved in the accidents and they say that the At
Fault percentage for the 3 days are 97% foreign and 3% American… they did not
give me nationality of the drivers.
I
asked what is the reason for the crash and surprisingly it isn’t speed., it’s
the simple fact that many of these drivers are INCAPABLE of driving on snow and
ice, don’t leave enough stoping distance, are following too closely and plain
panic during minor road scenarios. I am a firm believer that the FMCSA needs to
restrict foreigners from being allowed to operate during inclement weather such
as snow or ice.
According
to the National Insurance Institute, 98% of at fault crashes in a CMV during
inclement weather are the fault of a person not from the United States…let that
sink in….giving people CDL’s, who are from countries where it doesn’t snow, who
have little to no traffic laws & enforcement does not translate to them
being safe drivers in America.”[3]
Just
something as simple as importing people from arid countries or warmer climates
and giving them trucking jobs in a place like Nebraska slows down productivity,
because they bring with them a driving style that is unsuitable to their new
situation. Then society needs to expend resources on retraining, on accidents,
on new workplace health and safety standards, and on cultural awareness
training so that employers and emergency responders are aware that they should
not talk about this publicly so that the population can be made away of what is
happening. This all slows down productivity.
Consider how
many resources are needed in any business that hires people from say 5
different cultural backgrounds all with different languages as their first
language. What does this do team dynamics and workplace culture? It adds massive complexity.
As Vox goes
on to say,
“Mass
immigration is not “good for the economy” as advertised, much less “necessary
for the economy”. To the contrary, it is an absolute nightmare for the economy
as well as for the society, as it reduces wages, reduces productivity, and
produces a much lower-quality labor force.”[4]
If you can
find a public school teacher who will honestly talk about the issue, ask them
the difference between teaching a multicultural class with kids from 10 to 20
different countries of origin, and a predominantly Anglo-Celtic class room with
kids whose parents have been here for two, three, four or more generations. I
have done this. The honest teachers will speak about how much our dropping
academic standards are a result of multicultural immigration policies. However, you will
struggle to get them to do this publicly.
Economists
are well aware of the productivity issues our immigration system causes. To be
sure, immigration does not need to cause lower productivity. British settlement of
Australia massively increased the economic productivity of this country. Though
it severely limited the ability for indigenous Australians to practice their
way of life, so it depends on which angle you come from right? But still the
way we do immigration destroys productivity. As the e61 Institute notes,
“At the aggregate level, the research finds:
- Migrant workers in Australia are
more likely to work in lower productivity industries than non-migrant
workers.
- Within industries, migrant
workers are more likely to work at lower productivity firms.
- These patterns have become more
prevalent over the course of the 2020s, and do not appear to be offset by
an improvement in the link between migrant employment and productivity
within firms.”[5]
Immigrants are more likely to work in low productivity roles, and this is getting worse. Have
you noticed the explosion in the number of rideshare products and food delivery
products being offered? This is because of a massive amount of recent immigration that
has produced large amounts of people to take on roles in these fields. This is not a high productivity area of the
economy, in fact, these products were mostly stuff we did not even use not that
long ago, but suddenly they are everywhere and this has helped to create a
massive rise in low productivity jobs. This does not move an economy forward, it simply create low skilled busy work.
The
economists at e61 also note that migrants on special targeted visas do work in
higher productivity firms. But this is the minority. The trends are moving in
the other direction. Immigration is not increasing Australia’s prosperity. We
have not even included the billions of dollars a year that immigrant workers send
to their homes countries in our discussion.[6]
As our
reliance on immigration increases Australia’s productivity and wealth per
person get worse,
Source: MacroBusiness.
This is a
decades old problem now,
“Australia’s
dependence on population growth to keep economic growth positive has been
increasing consistently over the 30 years between 1990 and the last
pre-pandemic financial year (2019):
- From 1990 to 1999, population
growth contributed approximately one-third of total economic growth.
- From 2000 to 2009, population
growth contributed approximately one-half of total economic growth.
- From 2010 to 2019, population
growth contributed approximately two-thirds of total economic growth.”[7]
At some point
in the nineties governments worked out that instead of having to invest in infrastructure,
business and other areas of productivity, they could simply open up the borders
and bring in more people to make their economic figures look good, and that is
what they have been doing ever since. They are addicted to this policy
position. Only, like any addict the effect of their drug is getting less
effective with each hit and so they have to keep upping to dose. But as they do
this the share of the economic pie gets worse for everyone else, including new immigrants. I’ve personally ministered to homeless people who barely speak English and just got here, and I don’t mean backpackers. We are importing welfare issues every day.
Immigration
does not need to have this effect. A very low and very targeted immigration
policy that brings in only necessary skills and talents can have a positive
effect on the economy. However, the problem with such a policy is that if some of a thing is
good, our politicians think more of a think must be better and that has gotten
us to where we are now. A complete reversal of immigration policy is necessary to get Australia out of this economic rut.
Who benefits
from our immigration policies? The real estate industry benefits from constant
upward pressure on house prices because of high demand. The building industry
appears to benefit because of higher wages for builders. However, these higher
wages flow on through the economy and make every single job you need a tradesmen
for much, much more expensive, driving inflation in many parts of our economy. Home
investors benefit, because they have long gotten used to making money from just
sitting in the unproductive housing market. This is money that could have been
invested in industry or technology. Politicians benefit because the left get
their voters and the conservatives keep wages suppressed for the business sector.
But everyone else is worse off on average.
What is good
though is that there is a growing movement against Australia’s high
immigration. People are literally marching in the streets because of it. Which
means that more and more Australians are aware of what a con this is. Hopefully
information like this can help them be more effective in getting policy
changed.
[1] Leith Van Olsen, 2025, https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2025/04/rba-acknowledges-that-excessive-immigration-is-killing-productivity/
[2] For
those unaware Vax Day is a trained economist, and is published on the issue.
[3] Vox
Day, 2025, https://voxday.net/2025/02/24/low-wage-efficiencies/
[4] Vox
Day, 2025, https://voxday.net/2025/02/24/low-wage-efficiencies/
[5] e61 Institute, 2023, https://e61.in/misallocated-migrants-immigration-and-firm-productivity-in-australia/
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